Market Update – 13th November 2019 – AUD Edges Lower As Trump Talks Tariffs, Again…

Please note that the commentary below is factual information provided to a group of readers as a web blog, and where an opinion is expressed by the author, it is GENERAL ADVICE only.

AUD Edges Lower:

Trump has decided to speak again, and in doing so provided further uncertainty about tariffs and the actual progress being made in a trade deal with China. As a result, and not surprisingly, the AUD has eased against most of the majors while U.S equities were a bit stop and start eventually finishing the overnight session flat.

Wages Data Due:

Local wages data is due at 11.30am and is tipped to show quarterly wages growth of around 0.5% – a far cry from the consistent average of around 1% through the 2000’s. More recently and since 2016 the average quarterly wages growth has been around 0.4-0.5% and it explains a lot why consumer spending remains subdued and the why the RBA have been so keen to continue to cut rates in a bid to stimulate both spending but also wages growth.

UK and U.S CPI figures are due at 8.30pm and 12.30am respectively.

AUD EXCHANGE RATES:

AUD/USD – 0.6809

AUD/GBP – 0.5291

AUD/EUR – 0.6181

AUD/NZD – 1.0772

AUD/JPY – 74.226

OTHER MARKETS:

All Ords (XAO) – 6,857

Gold – A$2,132/oz

Silver –  A$24.58/oz

WTI – US$56.77 barrel

DATA RELEASES TODAY:

AUD – Westpac Consumer Sentiment at 10.30am

AUD – Wage Price Index q/q at 11.30am

NZD – Official Cash Rate at noon

GBP – CPI y/y at 8.30pm

USD – CPI m/m at 12.30am

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Patrick Downes

Senior Corporate FX Dealer

Phone Patrick – 0431 278 632 

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