Please note that the commentary below is factual information provided to a group of readers as a web blog, and where an opinion is expressed by the author, it is GENERAL ADVICE only.
AUD Sinks With Stocks:
The Aussie Dollar has had one of its worst sessions on record, losing nearly three hundred points, or 3 cents since yesterday morning. The falls were triggered by the worst capitulation in stocks that we’ve seen since Black Monday 1987. All in all U.S and European stocks fell by between 9-14%, with the Spanish IBEX35 the worst performer. Aussie stocks look set to break records today with a nearly 10% fall priced in by futures markets.
I really wish I could be more upbeat about things but the truth is this coronavirus has now been deemed a pandemic and probably won’t be halted until a vaccine is ready. Of course warmer, more humid weather in the northern hemisphere (where the bulk of cases have occurred) should also provide some respite from the viruses spread. China has shown that even this virus can be contained with the right measures, so there is certainly light at the end of the tunnel.
By the end of the year we’ll probably look back on this as a buying opportunity for stocks and the AUD, however it would take a brave man or women to jump into the market right now.
PS – for those importers struggling with the AUD down here, please remember we have been here before. In October 2008 AUD/USD slumped to just under 0.60 before recovering over the next few years to a high around 1.10. The same thing occured after the tech wreck in 2001 when AUD/USD fell to under 0.49 before staging a nearly 8 year rally to around 0.98.
AUD EXCHANGE RATES:
AUD/USD – 0.6241
AUD/GBP – 0.4951
AUD/EUR – 0.5582
AUD/NZD – 1.0216
AUD/JPY – 65.375
All Ords (XAO) – 5,370
Gold – A$2,531/oz
Silver – A$25.36/oz
WTI – US$31.32 barrel
DATA RELEASES TODAY:
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Senior Corporate FX Dealer
Phone Patrick – 0431 278 632
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