11th March 2015 – Technical Outlook

AUD/USD

FROM HERE: sell around 0.7643 to target sub 0.7500. Trail profit if all goes to plan

BUT: may see short covering today which may squeeze up to 0.7700 (unlikely).

COMMENT: Very bearish sentiment medium term view hence always on the look out for good level to short or sell.

11-03-15A

USD/JPY

FROM HERE: given overnight candle formation, sell at market or 121.27 with tight stop to target 120.60

BUT: above 121.50 may see bulls resume their charge back up towards 122.00

COMMENT: watch to see if an ‘evening star’ pattern is forming along with other indicators to confirm bearish reversal

11-03-15J

EUR/USD

FROM HERE: Sell around 1.0685 to target 1.0574 for start. Trail profit at pivot levels

BUT: small short term stops above 1.0700 with more stops above 1.0760

COMMENT: Bears are in full control, don’t try to pick bottom because risk / reward ratio not there.

11-03-15E

GBP/USD

FROM HERE: sell around 1.5088 to target 1.5020 then sub-1.5000

BUT: 1.5020 is very well supported (triple bottom) so be careful at this level.

COMMENT: Although 1.5020 is solid, overall USD strength may take this support out today after couple of attempts

11-03-15G

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